Bitcoin has entered a decisive phase. After pushing beyond $110,000 earlier this year, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has slipped back to retest the $100,000 support — a level that could determine whether the bull market continues or a deeper correction begins.

According to CoinCodex’s Bitcoin price prediction, BTC could still gain roughly 39% by the end of 2025, reaching an average price near $126,000 and possibly peaking at $143,700. The same forecast suggests that while 2026 may bring consolidation, Bitcoin could climb above $270,000 by 2030 — reinforcing that short-term volatility doesn’t erase long-term strength.

Bitcoin is expected to reach between $103,500 and $239,330 by 2030, a potential 131% gain. Source: CoinCodex

Analysts warn: $100K is the line in the sand

Market analyst TedPillows recently described Bitcoin’s structure as being in “free fall,” warning that the $100K zone is now the dividing line between a normal pullback and a deeper correction. If that level breaks, the next key area sits around $92,000, where a CME futures gap remains unfilled.

Traders are on alert. After months of bullish momentum, sentiment has turned cautious as price action becomes increasingly choppy. The market has entered a phase where every bounce or dip could define the tone for the rest of the year.

Technical indicators turn neutral

On the daily chart, Bitcoin is struggling beneath its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, with a pattern of lower highs hinting that sellers have the upper hand for now. The 4-hour timeframe shows consolidation between $102K and $100K, where buying attempts repeatedly face rejection.

On-chain data tells a similar story. Active Bitcoin addresses have declined, and more coins are flowing toward exchanges — a sign that traders may be preparing to sell rather than accumulate. Momentum has clearly cooled, but not collapsed.

Institutions and adoption keep the long-term story alive

Despite the pressure, the big-money players aren’t leaving. Strategy recently added another $45.6 million in Bitcoin at an average price of $114,000 per BTC, signaling that institutional conviction remains firm even during market dips.

At the same time, adoption continues to spread. Dubai telecom operator Du launched a Bitcoin mining service for its subscribers, showing that real-world integration of Bitcoin infrastructure is still accelerating despite market turbulence.

Not everyone shares the optimism. Peter Schiff renewed his long-running skepticism toward Bitcoin, calling its valuation “unsustainable.” Yet, history shows that bearish commentary like this often surfaces near local market lows — right before momentum shifts again.

Psychologically, the $100K mark represents far more than a price level. It’s a barometer of confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term narrative as digital gold and a cornerstone of decentralized finance.

CoinCodex forecast: Short-term caution, long-term optimism

The CoinCodex Bitcoin price prediction data outlines a realistic roadmap for both correction and recovery:

  • End of 2025: Bitcoin could average $126,317, with upside potential toward $143,700, marking a 39% rise from current levels.
  • 2026: A consolidation period may follow, with averages sliding from $134,000 in January to $78,000 by December, suggesting a cyclical cooldown before renewed growth.
  • 2030: Long-term projections stay strongly bullish, with Bitcoin potentially averaging $266,000 and reaching highs above $270,000, a gain exceeding 160% from current prices.

These figures suggest that even if Bitcoin dips below $100K in the short term, the broader uptrend remains intact — with 2025 and beyond shaping up as recovery years.

The bottom line

The next few weeks will reveal whether Bitcoin’s $100K line holds. Staying above it could reignite the rally, while a break lower might lead to a retest near $92K. Either way, institutional accumulation, rising adoption, and long-term bullish forecasts all point to one conclusion: the Bitcoin story isn’t over — it’s simply entering its next chapter.

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